Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 2 points from 19% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 21.5% on 7 Oct 2026.
$1.115M - $1.126M ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?”. <$1.115M leads at 60.5%; $1.137M - $1.148M is at 16.3%.
$761.79 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.65K since listing. The order book holds $2.23K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 135 trades, $306.52 bought Yes and $1.3K bought No.
The largest Yes position is molodoyy with 488 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 93.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 19.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.23K |
| molodoyy | Yes | 487.91 |
| 1walrus | Yes | 216.51 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/56)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-on-december-31
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 180.63 |
| papakilofoxtrot | Yes | 153.31 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 75 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | 52.79 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 50.56 |
| cigarettes | No | 39.9 |
| Each-Caliber | Yes | 29.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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