Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 401.1 | $0.748 | $310.85 | +$10.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.219 | $1.25 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 144.93 |
| $0.690 |
| $107.97 |
| +$7.97 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.61 | $0.510 | $15.2 | +$5.2 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.27 | $0.930 | $14.7 | +$0.5 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.27 | $0.913 | $14.43 | +$0.48 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 15.34 | $0.880 | $14.19 | +$0.69 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 15.23 | $0.877 | $13.82 | +$0.47 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 15.78 | $0.437 | $12.79 | +$5.89 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.49 | $0.651 | $11.93 | +$1.85 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 15.42 | $0.830 | $11.49 | -$1.31 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 15.45 | $0.670 | $10.97 | +$0.62 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.43 | $0.700 | $10.57 | -$0.23 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.06 | $0.785 | $9.98 | +$2.08 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10.3 | $0.948 | $9.82 | +$0.06 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 10.22 | $0.920 | $9.76 | +$0.36 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.550 | $9.45 | +$3.95 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10.99 | $0.446 | $8.85 | +$3.95 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15.81 | $0.370 | $8.62 | +$2.77 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 15.62 | $0.480 | $8.36 | +$0.86 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $7.66 | +$4.66 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 10.15 | $0.680 | $7.26 | +$0.36 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 57.53 | $0.174 | $6.33 | -$3.67 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.33 | $0.610 | $6.25 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.617 | $6.25 | -$0.07 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 5.38 | $0.780 | $5.33 | +$1.13 |
| buy |
| 5.2 |
| $0.500 |
| $2.6 |
| 15h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.734 | $1K | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsChicken Coop Esports | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | 1d ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.29 | $0.850 | $4.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.870 | $4.55 | 1d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.310 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
 Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.653 | $3.42 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.630 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?OpenAI | buy | 5.07 | $0.670 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.34 | $0.600 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.510 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.290 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.180 | $1.05 | 2d ago |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.690 | $4.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.248 | $1.55 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.150 | $0.79 | 2d ago |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.403 | $2.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.580 | $3.05 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 9?No | buy | 463.62 | $0.950 | $440.6 | 2d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.930 | $4.75 | 2d ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.830 | $4.4 | 3d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.540 | $2.9 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 8?No | buy | 478.12 | $0.951 | $454.83 | 3d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.240 | $1.4 | 3d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.650 | $3.45 | 3d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.700 | $3.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.091 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.500 | $2.59 | 4d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.15 | $0.728 | $35.07 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.430 | $2.25 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 7?No | buy | 565.02 | $0.975 | $550.75 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.544 | $2.9 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.220 | $1.15 | 4d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.380 | $2.19 | 4d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.230 | $1.21 | 5d ago |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 6?No | buy | 396.7 | $0.986 | $391.33 | 5d ago |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.850 | $4.49 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 6?No | buy | 120 | $0.990 | $118.78 | 6d ago |