Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 9 Oct 2026, the highest close was 5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Oct 2026. $13.19K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 9:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 9 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 468.61K |
| Anjun | Yes | 57.56K |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 42.8K |
| Fearless-Misnomer | Yes | 30.21K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
| imnice | Yes | 27.49K |
| aenews2 | Yes | 25.63K |
| sciuboi | Yes | 24.13K |
| crystalfalls | Yes | 5.94K |
| Silver Raven B802 | Yes | 5.89K |
| Jade Quasar D7A7 | Yes | 5.4K |
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