
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 28 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Sep 2026. $31.62K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 28 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 4.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 2.34K |
| Serega-pro | Yes | 1.35K |
| Machaon | Yes | 1K |
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026: - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’ This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/switzerlands-september-referendum-what-will-pass-20260713144919276
| Sparse-Sled | Yes | 714.65 |
| Spectacular-Tornado | Yes | 667.7 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 629.43 |
| Ample-Pilgrim | Yes | 438.91 |
| sleepylemur | Yes | 405.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 327.77 |
| ellebel | Yes | 313.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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