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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.600 | $61.25 | +$11.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| No |
| 67.42 |
| $0.890 |
| $59 |
| -$1.01 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.975 | $49.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 67.57 | $0.740 | $47.64 | -$2.36 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 59.53 | $0.840 | $47.32 | -$2.68 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 95.53 | $0.523 | $27.23 | -$22.77 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 54.15 | $0.277 | $24.83 | +$9.83 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.026 | $23.65 | -$6.35 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 151.08 | $0.199 | $17.37 | -$12.63 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 54.79 | $0.730 | $10.68 | -$29.32 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.520 | $9.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 120 | $0.250 | $7.8 | -$22.2 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.090 | $5.5 | -$24.5 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.31K | $0.014 | $5.31 | -$68.06 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 37.74 | $0.530 | $5.09 | -$14.91 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $4.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 502.86 | $0.040 | $2.51 | -$17.49 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 8.16 | $0.490 | $1.55 | -$2.45 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.390 | $1 | -$29 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 46.2 | $0.281 | $0.99 | -$12.01 |
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Yes| buy |
| 313.14 |
| $0.064 |
| $20 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.971 | $42.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.026 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 68.49 | $0.801 | $54.89 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 151.08 | $0.199 | $30 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 137.91 | $0.230 | $31.72 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 53.77 | $0.972 | $52.26 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 53.77 | $0.930 | $50 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.975 | $50 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.240 | $52.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 64.13 | $0.940 | $60.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 67.45 | $0.870 | $58.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.890 | $20.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.06 | $0.832 | $38.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 70.32 | $0.800 | $56.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.390 | $65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.300 | $65.22 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.480 | $80 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 124.26 | $0.850 | $105.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 65.82 | $0.497 | $32.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.962 | $44.73 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.489 | $57.57 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.79 | $0.430 | $27 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 64.13 | $0.920 | $59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 54.84 | $0.760 | $41.68 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 41.42 | $0.969 | $40.14 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.260 | $27.08 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.038 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 59.7 | $0.770 | $45.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 70.33 | $0.910 | $64 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.79 | $0.430 | $27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 39.36 | $0.690 | $27.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.07 | $0.890 | $41 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 29.88 | $0.952 | $28.45 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | sell | 34.09 | $0.920 | $31.36 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 67.45 | $0.840 | $56.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |