Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | Yes | 119.15 | $0.336 | $24.43 | -$15.57 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.940 | $13.42 | 21d ago |
 |
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?| Yes |
| 461.61 |
| $0.130 |
| $22.16 |
| -$37.84 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.170 | $6.47 | -$13.53 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 94.8 | $0.105 | $6.16 | -$3.84 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 125 | $0.080 | $0.38 | -$9.63 |
| buy |
| 85.79 |
| $0.164 |
| $14.07 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 460.33 | $0.022 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.29 | $0.540 | $25 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.540 | $25 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.770 | $11 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 135.92 | $0.074 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 162.66 | $0.246 | $40 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.036 | $9.73 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 314.85 | $0.032 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 119.15 | $0.336 | $40 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 461.61 | $0.130 | $60 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.258 | $19.86 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.993 | $38.19 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?Yes | sell | 50.44 | $0.174 | $8.76 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 50.44 | $0.198 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | sell | 125 | $0.070 | $8.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.650 | $25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 94.8 | $0.105 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 336.71 | $0.030 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 135.92 | $0.368 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 40.98 | $0.113 | $4.64 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 40.98 | $0.122 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.940 | $7.89 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 8.39 | $0.890 | $7.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.24 | $0.298 | $18.88 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 59.47 | $0.336 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?No | buy | 18.64 | $0.537 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 208.4 | $0.072 | $15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 146.71 | $0.068 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.388 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | buy | 154.82 | $0.129 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |