What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on May 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30,…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($72.96K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 58 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 89.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 23, 5:34 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-finding-satoshi-documentary-identify-hal-finney-as-satoshi) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | Polymarket odds & analytics

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Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-the-finding-satoshi-documentary-identify-hal-finney-as-satoshiUpdated Apr 23, 2026

Closed

Scheduled close May 1, 2026

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$73.0K

Scheduled close

May 1, 2026

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Apr 23, 2026

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Apr 23, 2026

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

89%

Yes / No shares

10.24K / 13.98K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

267

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	13.98K	0.0%	$0
🐥🥚🐣	Yes	1.23K	50.0%	$0

Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on May 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30,…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($72.96K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$13.98K
projectC	$2.7
🐥🥚🐣	$0
ffgt555	$0
Detailed-Appetiser	$0
MajoriT	$0
cryptapa	$0
c00kedforever	$0
aas445	$0
jjki792	$0
aas3e3	$0
ikerv	$0