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Paper trading
Resolved No on 22 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 18 Apr 2026. $19.93K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 22 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.98K |
| Roach81 | Yes | 3.04K |
| rated | Yes | 150 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 68.29 |
| adspokposs | Yes | 48.8 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 29.99 |
| 0xMIX | Yes | 10 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 5 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-the-finding-satoshi-documentary-identify-as-satoshi
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