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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $4.71 | -$0.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 18h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 8.77 |
| $0.570 |
| $3.9 |
| -$1.1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.231 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.080 | $2.44 | -$0.56 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.100 | $2.39 | +$2.14 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 24.19 | $0.124 | $2.37 | -$0.63 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | $0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $1.73 | -$0.27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $1.39 | -$0.61 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.29 | $0.159 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21.28 | $0.047 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 37.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $3 |
| 18h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.032 | $1.18 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.950 | $7.13 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.29 | $0.159 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.031 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.231 | $3 | 27d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.124 | $3 | 27d ago |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 32.46 | $0.929 | $30.16 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Morocco?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 28.73 | $0.198 | $5.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.087 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.47 | $0.154 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.850 | $3.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.908 | $10.85 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |