Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 23% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 23% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 16.5% on 1 Jun 2026. $22.37K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 13 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 23.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Voidofhype | Yes | 2.44K |
| Liquidifier | Yes | 292.22 |
| MtnMark | Yes | 206.13 |
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/federal-gas-tax-suspended-by
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| tinman2 | Yes | 100 |
| dfeg | Yes | 66.67 |
| Clementiner | Yes | 66.67 |
| Impossible-Mate | Yes | 66.67 |
| Troubled-Anesthesiologist | Yes | 66.67 |
| Dense-Clave | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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