Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.93 |
| $0.067 |
| $0.14 |
| -$0.86 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 30.07 | $0.099 | $0.03 | -$2.94 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.190 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 1.04 |
| $0.963 |
| $1 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.430 | $1.19 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | sell | 4.57 | $0.600 | $2.74 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.881 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.05 | $0.670 | $5.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.560 | $6.22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.97 | $0.250 | $3.74 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.110 | $1.65 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 29.72 | $0.067 | $1.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes | sell | 37.14 | $0.180 | $6.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 51.96 | $0.150 | $7.79 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 87.03 | $0.021 | $1.83 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.994 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.993 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.997 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.992 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.974 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.980 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.974 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.996 | $1.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.997 | $1.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.990 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.950 | $1.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.990 | $1.22 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.810 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.998 | $1.31 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.760 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?No | sell | 2 | $0.987 | $1.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.993 | $1.32 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.992 | $2.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.942 | $2.35 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.996 | $2.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.993 | $2.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.920 | $2.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.992 | $3.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.997 | $3.51 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.991 | $3.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.987 | $4.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.993 | $4.41 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.614 | $3.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |