Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 13 points from 18% when the market opened on 29 Jan 2026.
The high was 49% on 31 Jan 2026 and the low 4.5% on 30 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.5%; a month ago, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 49% on 31 Jan 2026.
John Vincent (D) ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “SC-07 House Election Winner”. Russell Fry (R) leads at 95.5%.
$48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.4K since listing. The order book holds $94.95K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 178 trades, $257 bought Yes and $16.54K bought No; the largest was a $1.74K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 381 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 656.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 8:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 249 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 18.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 656 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 380.62 |
| AJSV | Yes | 193.68 |
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sc-07-house-election-winner
| tsnycpm1 |
| No |
| 121 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 60 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
| qhome12 | Yes | 50 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| lissartter | No | 28.12 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 18.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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