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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 370 | $0.860 | $349.65 | +$31.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?No | buy | 118 | $0.940 | $110.92 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 386 |
| $0.844 |
| $326.17 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 349 | $0.939 | $323.87 | -$3.86 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 370 | $0.830 | $323.75 | +$16.65 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 387.99 | $0.839 | $320.09 | -$5.62 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 278.5 | $0.940 | $270.42 | +$8.63 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 235 | $0.801 | $210.33 | +$22.11 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 221 | $0.817 | $185.64 | +$5.18 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 192 | $0.930 | $181.92 | +$3.36 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | No | 188 | $0.947 | $181.23 | +$3.24 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 197 | $0.949 | $180.35 | -$6.51 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 187.99 | $0.940 | $177.94 | +$1.22 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 187 | $0.936 | $177.65 | +$2.66 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | No | 194 | $0.909 | $177.41 | +$1.07 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 198 | $0.900 | $177.21 | -$0.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 202 | $0.900 | $174.73 | -$7.07 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat? | No | 213 | $0.840 | $174.66 | -$4.26 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 169.45 | $0.940 | $164.03 | +$4.74 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 219 | $0.820 | $163.16 | -$16.43 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 219 | $0.860 | $160.97 | -$27.37 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | No | 221 | $0.800 | $151.39 | -$25.42 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 150.99 | $0.830 | $123.81 | -$1.51 |
 Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | No | 161.99 | $0.827 | $116.63 | -$17.4 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 121 | $0.948 | $115.07 | +$0.36 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat? | No | 118 | $0.940 | $111.51 | +$0.59 |
| sell |
| 64.26 |
| $0.031 |
| $1.99 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 16.02 | $0.022 | $0.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.028 | $0.28 | 1d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.948 | $114.71 | 1d ago |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 187 | $0.936 | $174.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 211 | $0.580 | $122.38 | 1d ago |
 Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 30.03 | $0.550 | $16.52 | 1d ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 70 | $0.560 | $39.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.580 | $8.69 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 2d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No | sell | 70 | $0.945 | $66.15 | 2d ago |
 Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 207 | $0.869 | $179.88 | 3d ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 203 | $0.882 | $179.12 | 3d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 40.8 | $0.966 | $39.41 | 5d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 5d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 6.7 | $0.966 | $6.47 | 5d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 25.55 | $0.970 | $24.78 | 5d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?No | buy | 194 | $0.909 | $176.35 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No | buy | 70 | $0.937 | $65.56 | 5d ago |
 Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 215 | $0.900 | $193.5 | 5d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.825 | $178.96 | 6d ago |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 209 | $0.900 | $188.1 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?No | buy | 188 | $0.947 | $178 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?No | buy | 213 | $0.840 | $178.92 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 221 | $0.800 | $176.8 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.590 | $130.98 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 198 | $0.920 | $182.16 | 7d ago |
| Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?No | buy | 161.99 | $0.827 | $134.03 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 325 | $0.560 | $182 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 56.08 | $0.570 | $31.97 | 8d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 299 | $0.888 | $265.51 | 8d ago |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | buy | 221 | $0.817 | $180.46 | 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 215 | $0.890 | $191.35 | 8d ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 189 | $0.944 | $178.49 | 8d ago |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 212 | $0.890 | $188.68 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 189 | $0.946 | $178.79 | 8d ago |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.902 | $19.84 | 8d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 7.18 | $0.903 | $6.48 | 8d ago |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.900 | $178.2 | 8d ago |
 Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | 8d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 7.18 | $0.903 | $6.48 | 9d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 7.18 | $0.903 | $6.48 | 9d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.904 | $4.66 | 9d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.904 | $4.66 | 9d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.904 | $27.12 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.800 | $177.6 | 9d ago |