Analytics
Yes is at 97.2%, up 25 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 29 Jan 2026.
The high was 97.6% on 27 Jun 2026 and the low 72.5% on 29 Jan 2026. A week ago Yes was at 97.3%; a month ago, 96.7%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 86.5% on 30 Jan 2026.
Democratic Party is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “CA-07 House Election Winner”, ahead of Republican Party at 1.7%.
$7.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.95K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 100 trades, $2.66K bought Yes and $43.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is lonehighway with 441 shares; the largest No position is Flamboyant-Warming with 312. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 14 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 9:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 242 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 72.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 97.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lonehighway | Yes | 441.04 |
| i2dt | Yes | 389.46 |
| anciano | Yes | 330.56 |
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-07-house-election-winner
| Flamboyant-Warming |
| No |
| 312.41 |
| thecaricature | No | 205.46 |
| BSS37 | No | 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 134 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 108.5 |
| Biver52 | No | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 60.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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