Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 2 Jul 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.6% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 0.5% on 17 May 2026. $20.81K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 1:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 8.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.72K |
| MtnMark | Yes | 10K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q2-2026
| Yes |
| 836.01 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 384.19 |
| ERTYUT | Yes | 300 |
| wozaitaibei | Yes | 290 |
| Shady-Maybe | Yes | 224.65 |
| ACara | Yes | 188.34 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 167.04 |
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