Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election?

worldResolved

No, settled Sep 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$9.2K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 41% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 27.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $9.21K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Sep 2026	28.5%
19 Sep 2026	4.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	836.83
Mithrandir.	Yes	39.99
frontiertrade	Yes	24.99

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).