Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 31.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $5.56K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 133 |
| a5533 | Yes | 56.47 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 54.98 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-talarico-and-paxton-debate-live-by-october-15
| Sp0rtBaby | Yes | 50.3 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 43 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| lissartter | Yes | 20 |
| sdssds | Yes | 20 |
| asd56 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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