What is the “Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford Margin of victory?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 1, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
Susan Crawford and Brad Schimel are running for a 10-year term on the Wisconsin Supreme Court on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Susan Crawford. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Susan Crawford and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($68.5K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$25.82K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation May 16, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 61 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 87.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 16, 5:16 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-susan-crawford-win-by-less-than-2) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
