Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 1 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 16 May 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 1 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.2% on 3 Apr 2025. $68.5K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 5:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 1 Apr 2025 – 16 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2025 | 23.5% |
| 16 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 47.4K |
| officialbsu42 | Yes | 2K |
| SolarFlar3 | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Susan Crawford and Brad Schimel are running for a 10-year term on the Wisconsin Supreme Court on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Susan Crawford. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Susan Crawford and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Susan Crawford does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Wisconsin has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-supreme-court-election-susan-crawford-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 1.03K |
| SnCbHcJ | Yes | 1K |
| 72gK0e | Yes | 1K |
| packbro | Yes | 1K |
| gJUtu9t | Yes | 1K |
| IzaqueComZ | Yes | 1K |
| Golden Kestrel 8189 | Yes | 950 |
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