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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | May 6, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 12.05 |
| $0.830 |
| $10 |
| May 6, 2025 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.823 | $0.84 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Russia before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.950 | $0.95 | May 6, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by June 19?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.910 | $1.21 | May 2, 2025 |
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.840 | $3.86 | May 2, 2025 |
Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.800 | $3.02 | May 2, 2025 |
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.950 | $5.22 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?No | sell | 14.54 | $0.350 | $5.09 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | May 2, 2025 |
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)Jets | sell | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
NHL Playoffs: Stars vs. Avalanche (To Advance)Stars | sell | 8.77 | $0.440 | $3.86 | May 2, 2025 |
New Pope before July?No | sell | 25 | $0.006 | $0.15 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.720 | $5.21 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.920 | $5.23 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.910 | $5.29 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.943 | $5.74 | May 2, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned before July?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.810 | $5.78 | May 2, 2025 |
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" next Friday?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.999 | $7.59 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.370 | $6.06 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?No | sell | 12.73 | $0.590 | $7.51 | May 2, 2025 |
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | sell | 133.33 | $0.025 | $3.39 | May 2, 2025 |
Will John Mulaney actually fight children?No | sell | 25 | $0.337 | $8.43 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | sell | 19.24 | $0.470 | $9.04 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump unfreeze Harvard funding?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.910 | $9.52 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.966 | $10.27 | May 2, 2025 |
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.920 | $10.45 | May 2, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?No | sell | 13.16 | $0.850 | $11.19 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump trade deal before June?Yes | sell | 13.25 | $0.843 | $11.17 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Greenland before July?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.983 | $11.42 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | sell | 15.27 | $0.830 | $12.67 | May 2, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 24.92 | $0.660 | $16.45 | May 2, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | sell | 34.24 | $0.520 | $17.8 | May 2, 2025 |
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.981 | $13.08 | May 2, 2025 |
Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | May 2, 2025 |
Hegseth caught drinking before June?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?No | sell | 12.8 | $0.728 | $9.32 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?No | sell | 26.59 | $0.710 | $18.88 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 22.89 | $0.930 | $21.29 | May 2, 2025 |
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?No | sell | 30.48 | $0.710 | $21.64 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?No | sell | 27.39 | $0.748 | $20.48 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be Eastern Conference champions?Yes | sell | 92.38 | $0.190 | $17.55 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?No | sell | 29.51 | $0.690 | $20.36 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?No | sell | 35.27 | $0.650 | $22.93 | May 2, 2025 |
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No | sell | 30.48 | $0.840 | $25.6 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump cabinet member out before July?No | sell | 37.82 | $0.620 | $23.45 | May 2, 2025 |
Tiger Woods x Vanessa Trump engaged in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | May 2, 2025 |
Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?No | sell | 29.25 | $0.850 | $24.86 | May 2, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 38.86 | $0.750 | $29.15 | May 2, 2025 |