What is the “Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Surf launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 56.5¢ and No at 43.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 56.5% for Yes and 43.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($30) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($322.19) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 16 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 4, 9:24 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-surf-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-surf-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2027Updated just now

cryptoActive

Closes Jul 1, 2027 UTCcryptotoken-launch

Yes

56.5%

43.5%

Buy Yes 56.5¢Buy No 43.5¢

24h Volume

$30

Liquidity

$322

Closes

Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

56.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

56.5%

43.5%

24h volume

$30

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 56.5¢

Open in terminal$30 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

19.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

56.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

789.42 / 789.21

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

131

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
wong98225	Yes	530	54.6%	$530	Sep 7, 10:48 AM UTC
Choroo	No	342.92	48.1%	$596.48	Oct 3, 4:41 AM UTC

Will Surf launch a token by ___?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Surf launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 56.5¢ and No at 43.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 56.5% for Yes and 43.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($30) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($322.19) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

wong98225

Yes

530

54.6%

$530

Sep 7, 10:48 AM UTC

Choroo

342.92

48.1%

$596.48

Oct 3, 4:41 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
wong98225	$299.45
Choroo	$149.17
OPOP10	$136.73
wheatherman	$50.85
AJSV	$30.36
AMAM13	$23.73
Anjun	$23.07
polca	$19.3
pootytherewardfarmer	$18.53
Royal Sphinx E2BE	$13.05
flexer78	$12.33
TooYoungToWin	$4.35