Analytics
Yes is at 33%, down 6.5 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 156 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 9% on 13 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 22%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Surf launch a token by ___?”.
$18.55K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $671.07, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 263 trades, $2.37K bought Yes and $2.48K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Indolent-Reward with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is OPOP10 with 770. Ten wallets hold 92.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 21 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indolent-Reward | Yes | 1.22K |
| OPOP10 | No | 770.18 |
| Whitedah | Yes | 634.57 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-surf-launch-a-token-by
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 432.69 |
| yooo23782378 | No | 425.02 |
| Choroo | No | 403.15 |
| paghool | No | 380.32 |
| darclindy | No | 320.21 |
| johnbedreal | Yes | 164.54 |
| MaxEnt | No | 148.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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