Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 37.5% on 31 May 2026. $10.63K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 21 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cjbrauns | Yes | 203.91 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 100 |
| gugu122 | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-surf-launch-a-token-by
| gugu10 | Yes | 20 |
| heipi5 | Yes | 20 |
| heipi66 | Yes | 20 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 12.57 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 8 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 8 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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