Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 May 2026 and the low 28% on 26 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 26 May 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 7:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 21 May 2026 – 26 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 26 May 2026 | 28.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-surf-launch-a-token-by
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