Analytics
Yes is at 8.7%, down 14 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 19 Apr 2026.
Across the 191 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 1 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.6%; a month before, 7.9%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.5% on 7 May 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?”.
$2.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $406.81, with a 11.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 650 shares; the largest No position is GoodNightIHope with 1.2K.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 191 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 22.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GoodNightIHope | No | 1.22K |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 650 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 250 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-make-eric-adams-a-citizen
| BSS37 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 100 |
| DontTrustMe | No | 67.12 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 45.97 |
| Scaly-Arena | Yes | 33.33 |
| Silver Ledger 220B | Yes | 31.65 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 30.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
