Analytics
Yes is at 51%, up 1 point from 50% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
Across the 158 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 12% on 6 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47.5%; a month before, 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 35% on 24 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?”.
$27.11K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $380.81, with a 36.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 134 shares; the largest No position is Dapsy with 200. Ten wallets hold 99.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 5:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 22 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dapsy | No | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 134.2 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 117.6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spark-launch-a-token-by
| htksd |
| No |
| 59.99 |
| iamfinethankyouandyou | No | 49.19 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 20 |
| CapyOnChain | Yes | 18.16 |
| 77sfds | No | 6.68 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 3.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
