Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 40 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 28 Nov 2025.
Across the 322 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24.5% on 3 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?”.
$2.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $228.69, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $75.97 bought Yes and $503.33 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 3e4rw with 80 shares; the largest No position is pizdi.bolyu with 73. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 322 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 3e4rw | Yes | 80 |
| pizdi.bolyu | No | 73 |
| Golden Comet 857F | No | 56.17 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spark-launch-a-token-by
| benguezmen |
| Yes |
| 51.04 |
| hui.mylyi | No | 47 |
| daweishashax | No | 43.84 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 32 |
| Crisp-Iron | Yes | 20 |
| Royal Falcon 4AEA | Yes | 20 |
| CapyOnChain | No | 16.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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