Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.3%. Yes opened at 45% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 96.9% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 45% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 54% on 4 Feb 2026. $77.13K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 45.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 95.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.12K |
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| N0stradumba55 | No | 1.64K |
| e1yx | No | 559.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between February 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-february
| LukeAlpha | No | 350 |
| kamarat | No | 350 |
| ThomasStreet | No | 233.83 |
| Heisq2511 | No | 200 |
| kandinsky | No | 100 |
| 5atka | No | 89.92 |
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