Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20.39 | +$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | 13d ago |
| Yes |
| 57.42 |
| $0.139 |
| $16.94 |
| +$8.94 |
 Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.440 | $13.55 | +$5.55 |
 Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | No | 8.96 | $0.558 | $8.17 | +$3.17 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $7.94 | -$2.06 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 58.82 | $0.170 | $7.35 | -$2.65 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.037 | $6.82 | +$1.82 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 175.44 | $0.057 | $3.95 | -$6.05 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 57.14 | $0.070 | $3.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $0.18 | -$4.82 |
| buy |
| 17.15 |
| $0.112 |
| $1.91 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.405 | $12 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 90.09 | $0.111 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.078 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 202.37 | $0.038 | $7.69 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 269.74 | $0.037 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 532.51 | $0.019 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 3.65K | $0.003 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 351.63 | $0.014 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.004 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 80.62 | $0.087 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.011 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No | buy | 109.75 | $0.091 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in February?Yes | buy | 168.37 | $0.030 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?Yes | buy | 186.3 | $0.027 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?Yes | buy | 249.56 | $0.020 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?No | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?No | buy | 235.82 | $0.034 | $8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?No | buy | 150.87 | $0.033 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 103.25 | $0.058 | $6 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 433.16 | $0.016 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 708.86 | $0.006 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.003 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.79 | $0.137 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 522.41 | $0.038 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 78.76 | $0.089 | $7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 338.09 | $0.047 | $15.96 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 37.81 | $0.264 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.558 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.440 | $8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "Iran" or "Ukraine" during the fundraiser?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.42 | $0.085 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |