Analytics
Yes is at 32.5%, down 18 points from 50% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 110 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29.5%; a month before, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
June 30, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Will RISEx launch a token by ___?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 74.5%; December 31, 2026 is at 2.6%.
$83.8 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.21K since listing. The order book holds $551.25, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $348.32 bought Yes and $567.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ValdeMURRR with 235 shares; the largest No position is dima23000 with 154.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ValdeMURRR | Yes | 235 |
| dima23000 | No | 153.81 |
| alts4life | No | 61 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RISEx officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by RISEx will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from RISEx (https://x.com/risextrade), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-risex-launch-a-token-by-20260708174012702
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 58.1 |
| Malganis | Yes | 45 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| Squiggly-Description | Yes | 20 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 12.1 |
| General-Noise | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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