Analytics
Yes is at 75%, up 25 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 104 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 30% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 68.5%; a month before, 35.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 38.5% on 28 Jul 2026.
December 31, 2027 is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Will RISEx launch a token by ___?”, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 32%.
$225.09 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.4K since listing. The order book holds $633.95, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 65 trades, $592.13 bought Yes and $303.22 bought No.
The largest Yes position is alts4life with 225 shares; the largest No position is sasha585 with 357.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sasha585 | No | 357 |
| alts4life | Yes | 225 |
| ValdeMURRR | Yes | 120.09 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RISEx officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by RISEx will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from RISEx (https://x.com/risextrade), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-risex-launch-a-token-by-20260708174012702
| MrYes |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 40 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 25 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 20.3 |
| pppnn | No | 15 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 11.22 |
| General-Noise | Yes | 3.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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