Analytics
Yes is at 49.5%, up 6 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 26 Mar 2026.
Across the 192 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 23% on 7 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42%; a month before, 39%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 64.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will QFEX launch a token by ___?”.
$60 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.52K since listing. The order book holds $570.03, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 87 trades, $297.83 bought Yes and $7.67K bought No; the largest was a $6.69K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 49 shares; the largest No position is Malganis with 60.
Trading closes on 1 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 192 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Malganis | No | 60 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 49.24 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 45 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-qfex-launch-a-token-by
| SuperTests |
| Yes |
| 37 |
| pd.unique | No | 34.74 |
| Haradwaith | No | 30.2 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 24.98 |
| pppnn | Yes | 22.63 |
| Raketa09 | No | 20 |
| CHANCEHAT23 | Yes | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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