Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 38 points from 41% when the market opened on 26 Mar 2026.
Across the 190 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 24% on 24 Apr 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will QFEX launch a token by ___?”.
$14.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.05K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 153 trades, $1.7K bought Yes and $2.73K bought No; the largest was a $1.05K buy of Yes at 62.0¢.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 191 shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 638. Ten wallets hold 83.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | No | 638 |
| Marcy-and-Gracie-Capital | No | 437.2 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 190.86 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-qfex-launch-a-token-by
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 184 |
| acal | Yes | 130 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 112.1 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 108.04 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 93.93 |
| kuasuo | Yes | 76.88 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 76.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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