Analytics
Yes is at 53.5%, up 10 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 26 Mar 2026.
Across the 206 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 39% on 28 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54%; a month before, 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 75% on 24 Jun 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will QFEX launch a token by ___?”.
$3.64K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $703.02, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 95 trades, $552.7 bought Yes and $664.11 bought No.
The largest Yes position is just-bettor with 183 shares; the largest No position is Fearless-Criminal-People with 208. Ten wallets hold 93.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 206 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Criminal-People | No | 208.1 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 182.64 |
| BuD | Yes | 138 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-qfex-launch-a-token-by
| KrauzeN |
| No |
| 119 |
| tacor | Yes | 75 |
| Malganis | No | 70 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 47.7 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 35 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 34.74 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 27.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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