Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 98.4% on 5 Oct 2026. $57.08K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.36K |
| RememberAmalek | No | 1.42K |
| adenakoz1 | No | 1.3K |
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election. In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-chamber-of-deputies-election-winner
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 625.79 |
| Devoted-Route | No | 549.46 |
| Natsan | No | 524.99 |
| MispricedPaladin | No | 99.99 |
| runechiters | No | 99.99 |
| yukonboi | No | 50 |
| BASSATS01 | No | 46.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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