Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, up 51 points from 21.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 73.5%; a month before, 89.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 63% on 13 Aug 2026.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus is the favourite of the 26 outcomes in “Campeche Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Eliseo Fernández Montúfar at 14.2%.
$189.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.27K since listing. The order book holds $21.2K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 168 trades, $2.74K bought Yes and $980.97 bought No; the largest was a $1.36K buy of Yes at 54.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Crimson Scout DF5C with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 96.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 21.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Scout DF5C | Yes | 2.51K |
| FrozenParasite | No | 1.15K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 634.42 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/campeche-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
14 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 260.48 |
| Haradwaith | No | 141.86 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 62 |
| shoobadooba18 | No | 60.5 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | No | 50 |
| donthackme | No | 45.5 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 24.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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