Analytics
Yes is at 14.2%, down 10 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.6%; a month before, 5.9%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4% on 8 Aug 2026.
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar ranks second of the 26 outcomes in “Campeche Governor Election Winner”. Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus leads at 72.5%; Yolanda Valladares Valle is at 5.1%.
$1.19K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $17.31K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 79 trades, $47.55 bought Yes and $487.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is musicenthusiast with 167 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 634. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 14.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 634.42 |
| musicenthusiast | Yes | 167.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 108.98 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/campeche-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
14 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| 322capital | Yes | 88.06 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 82.8 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 43.61 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 39.7 |
| donthackme | Yes | 34.15 |
| rocavil | Yes | 25 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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