Analytics
Yes is at 79.5%, down 7.5 points from 87% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
Across the 59 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 1 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 79%; a month before, 77.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 77.5% on 30 Aug 2026.
Otu Bassey Edet is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Arthur Jarvis at 13%.
$4.37K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.91K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $196.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is archaic with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is RememberAmalek with 1K. Ten wallets hold 98% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Feb 2027, 103 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 87.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 79.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| archaic | Yes | 1.78K |
| RememberAmalek | No | 1.02K |
| balabalababalabala | No | 690 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cross-river-nigeria-governor-election-winner
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 292.1 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 188.71 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 167.25 |
| supahao | Yes | 126.54 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 60 |
| tzquantalpha001 | Yes | 55.56 |
| FrozenTomato | Yes | 34.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
