Analytics
Yes is at 97.5%, up 25 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 72.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
OpenAI is the favourite of the 12 outcomes in “#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?”, ahead of Google at 3.8%.
$1.42K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.71K since listing. The order book holds $743.65, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 159 trades, $3.67K bought Yes and $372.92 bought No; the largest was a $1.06K buy of Yes at 85.1¢.
The largest Yes position is spxtest with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 97.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| spxtest | Yes | 1.88K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.51K |
| Plaintive-Agreement | Yes | 1.13K |
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-26
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 888.93 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | 642.6 |
| acc42020 | No | 310 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 303.2 |
| lissartter | No | 244.74 |
| Convex79 | No | 183.3 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 117.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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