Analytics
Yes is at 19.1%, up 7.6 points from 11.4% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 55 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.3% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9.6% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.8%; a month before, 16.2%. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points up, to 15.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
Gabriel Attal ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe”. Édouard Philippe leads at 59%; Both is at 9.7%.
$91.97 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.95K since listing. The order book holds $2.05K, with a 10.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 75 trades, $120.53 bought Yes and $416.35 bought No.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 696 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 96.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 18 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 11.4% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 19.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.48K |
| balthazar | Yes | 695.74 |
| Miserly-Personal | Yes | 637.5 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-attal-vs-philippe
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 170.22 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 77.82 |
| revol | No | 45.71 |
| cigarettes | No | 40 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 31.26 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 27.06 |
| Fluo | No | 22.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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