Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.6%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 130 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 30 Aug 2026, the highest close was 59% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 24 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 46.9% on 5 Jun 2026. $2.98K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 130 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 30 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Aug 2026 | 49.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keepwatch-politic | No | 200 |
| heyoguys | No | 138.54 |
| TENETENET | No | 50.1 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026
4 more markets, none above 2.9%.
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| dropmeplease | No | 40 |
| 20260405 | Yes | 29.78 |
| silverstud | No | 5 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 3.4 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 2.18 |
| 52adsa | No | 1.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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