Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.3% on 28 Oct 2026. $2.83K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Calimer0 | Yes | 258.99 |
| autisem | Yes | 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 186.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026, to elect the mayor of Toronto, Ontario. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the October 26, 2026 election for Mayor of Toronto. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City of Toronto. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/toronto-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-20261016143050914
| Yes |
| 53.22 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| prizr | Yes | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| SaylorMoon | Yes | 2.96 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
