Analytics
Yes is at 72%, up 26 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 2 Apr 2026.
The high was 89.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the low 45.5% on 2 Apr 2026. A week ago Yes was at 87%; a month ago, 89.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 75% on 3 Apr 2026.
Olivia Chow is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Toronto Mayoral Election Winner”, ahead of Brad Bradford at 27.5%.
$969.49 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $95.38K since listing. The order book holds $68.61K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $27.83K bought Yes and $5.19K bought No; the largest was a $7.57K buy of Yes at 87.0¢.
The largest Yes position is JokerTheClown with 9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 27.3K. Ten wallets hold 74.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 6:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 186 points · 2 Apr 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 45.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 72.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.26K |
| LuckyBaskar | No | 15.2K |
| JokerTheClown | Yes | 8.99K |
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545
| SaylorMoon | Yes | 6.79K |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 3.24K |
| wish- | Yes | 3.19K |
| knrad | Yes | 3.16K |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 3K |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 1.55K |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Yes | 1.47K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
