Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 31 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 51% on 28 Jul 2026. $114.78K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 31 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 32.5% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 54.16K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 3.57K |
| acal | Yes | 3.23K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202554129
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 3K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.45K |
| Machaon | Yes | 1.53K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 1.43K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 1.43K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 902.13 |
| aenews6 | Yes | 335.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
