Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.460 | $139.5 | +$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 3h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 149 |
| $0.382 |
| $29.06 |
| -$27.93 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 50 | $0.470 | $22 | -$1.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 50 | $0.140 | $7.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.180 | $7.25 | -$1.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 420.73 | $0.111 | $6.31 | -$40.46 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 28.83 | $0.099 | $4.18 | +$1.33 |
 Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30? | Yes | 21.01 | $0.130 | $3.99 | +$1.26 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 85 | $0.201 | $2.81 | -$14.24 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $2.5 | -$4.5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 77.33 | $0.081 | $0.58 | -$5.67 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 10? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $0.2 | -$2 |
| buy |
| 13.7 |
| $0.730 |
| $10 |
| 3h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.02 | $0.082 | $4.51 | 15h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.150 | $7.5 | 18h ago |
| Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.01 | $0.130 | $2.73 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 52.86 | $0.077 | $4.07 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 420.71 | $0.021 | $8.83 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 82.02 | $0.130 | $10.66 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 59.9 | $0.560 | $33.54 | 2d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.85 | $0.060 | $2.45 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.620 | $18.54 | 5d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.36 | $0.220 | $23.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | 11d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 13d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.002 | $2.01 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 135.02 | $0.110 | $14.85 | 14d ago |
 Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 23d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | 27d ago |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 28d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.74 | $0.447 | $20 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 203 | $0.001 | $0.2 | 28d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | sell | 44.99 | $0.371 | $16.67 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 203 | $0.012 | $2.44 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.710 | $802.83 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 108.92 | $0.050 | $5.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.380 | $57 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.060 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 119.99 | $0.300 | $36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 46.3 | $0.259 | $12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.457 | $9.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.320 | $2.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.569 | $11.38 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 59.03 | $0.339 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 171.6 | $0.010 | $1.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |