Analytics
Yes is at 48.5%, up 34 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 75% on 28 Sep 2026.
No actor chosen by end of 2027 is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Gwen Stacy live-action film actress?”, ahead of Emma Myers at 32.5%.
$8.61 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.43K since listing. The order book holds $16.64K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 235 trades, $1.6K bought Yes and $1.87K bought No; the largest was a $1.09K buy of No at 53.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Viserys with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 96.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 14.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.37K |
| Viserys | Yes | 1.07K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 417.8 |
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress
| 0x49F206 |
| Yes |
| 257 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 197.21 |
| AJSV | Yes | 132.28 |
| Silver Atlas DDDA | Yes | 120 |
| Dapsy | No | 100 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 44.53 |
| Milin-dc | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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