Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 11 points from 14% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points down, to 4% on 28 Sep 2026.
Emma Stone ranks fourth of the 8 outcomes in “Gwen Stacy live-action film actress?”. No actor chosen by end of 2027 leads at 48.5%; Emma Myers is at 32.5%.
$226.11 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $745.28, with a 5.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0x49F206 with 257 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 418.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 14.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 417.8 |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 257 |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 94.04 |
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gwen-stacy-live-action-film-actress
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| PPMT | Yes | 20.02 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 8 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 5.79 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 5 |
| Solar Summit 0A64 | Yes | 4.95 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
