Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 46 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 May 2026.
Across the 180 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 5 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.1%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15% on 2 May 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?”.
$23.08K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.25K, with a 5.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 343 trades, $454.86 bought Yes and $7.5K bought No; the largest was a $1.44K buy of No at 89.3¢.
The largest Yes position is eratoxtenex with 692 shares; the largest No position is bigshort with 816. Ten wallets hold 72.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 180 points, 1 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bigshort | No | 816.35 |
| eratoxtenex | Yes | 691.66 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 414.4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms
10 more markets, none above 3.1%.
| peepeepooppoop |
| No |
| 400 |
| SitsToPee | No | 390.97 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 302.3 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 217.91 |
| Emerald Voyager C57E | Yes | 185.19 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 176 |
| Crimson Raven D375 | No | 156.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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