Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.980 | $979.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.1K |
| $0.823 |
| $940.5 |
| +$35.5 |
 Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 980.49 | $0.923 | $940.29 | +$34.86 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 658.19 | $0.943 | $647.33 | +$26.37 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 600 | $0.976 | $595.8 | +$10.5 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | No | 2.34K | $0.423 | $562.75 | -$429.02 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 500 | $0.987 | $495 | +$1.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.880 | $432.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.951 | $379 | -$1.4 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 680 | $0.597 | $363.8 | -$42 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 600.02 | $0.517 | $345.01 | +$34.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.690 | $342.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 400 | $0.660 | $296 | +$32 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.795 | $294 | -$24 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | 300 | $0.812 | $292.95 | +$49.35 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 300 | $0.909 | $276.9 | +$4.2 |
 Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | No | 1.02K | $0.439 | $265.2 | -$182.2 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 300 | $0.622 | $260.4 | +$73.8 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 500 | $0.596 | $258.75 | -$39.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.780 | $247.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 1K | $0.569 | $235 | -$334 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 499.99 | $0.498 | $230 | -$19 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.540 | $206 | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $195.3 | +$13.3 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 200 | $0.960 | $194.4 | +$2.4 |
| sell |
| 378 |
| $0.430 |
| $162.54 |
| 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15.01 | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | sell | 111.75 | $0.160 | $17.88 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 200 | $0.721 | $144.16 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.701 | $280.45 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 846.74 | $0.050 | $42.34 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | 4d ago |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?No | sell | 50.01 | $0.180 | $9 | 6d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | 7d ago |
| Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.023 | $0.17 | 8d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.590 | $29.56 | 10d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 86.65 | $0.600 | $51.99 | 16d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 306.32 | $0.600 | $183.79 | 16d ago |
 Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.350 | $26.25 | 17d ago |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | buy | 664.33 | $0.930 | $618.11 | 19d ago |
| Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.590 | $9.23 | 19d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 80 | $0.610 | $48.8 | 19d ago |
 Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 117.82 | $0.050 | $5.89 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.994 | $199.79 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 216 | $0.994 | $214.69 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 25d ago |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 26d ago |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?No | buy | 75 | $0.610 | $45.75 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 72.49 | $0.440 | $31.9 | 28d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | sell | 816.81 | $0.023 | $18.98 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.042 | $0.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.960 | $384 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 113 | $0.950 | $107.35 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 352.71 | $0.988 | $348.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.038 | $0.38 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.412 | $41.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 81.31 | $0.940 | $76.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | buy | 100 | $0.936 | $93.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?No | buy | 238.96 | $0.990 | $236.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 255.59 | $0.940 | $240.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.183 | $36.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 97.13 | $0.940 | $91.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.86 | $0.270 | $7.79 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.783 | $313.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.705 | $141 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.700 | $9.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 400 | $0.961 | $384.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | sell | 70.2 | $0.301 | $21.13 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No | buy | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No | buy | 214.55 | $0.999 | $214.34 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 80 | $0.640 | $51.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.963 | $385.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |