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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.034 | $17.43 | +$12.43 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.76 | $0.260 | $0.46 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.7 |
| $0.630 |
| $12.68 |
| +$4.68 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.720 | $11.38 | +$2.38 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | No | 11 | $0.909 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | $0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 21.35 | $0.281 | $9.75 | +$3.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.64 | $0.660 | $9.34 | +$0.34 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 11.36 | $0.880 | $8.69 | -$1.31 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7.82 | +$0.82 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 16 | $0.500 | $7.6 | -$0.4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 14.58 | $0.480 | $7.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.160 | $7.13 | +$1.13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 20 | $0.350 | $7.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.014 | $6.96 | +$1.96 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 7.54 | $0.830 | $6.52 | +$0.26 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 18.47 | $0.379 | $6.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 94.34 | $0.053 | $6.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5.95 | +$0.95 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| sell |
| 4.51 |
| $0.860 |
| $3.88 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 133.48 | $0.016 | $2.1 | 5d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.6 | $0.310 | $5.15 | 6d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 13.31 | $0.160 | $2.13 | 6d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.92 | $0.370 | $7 | 9d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.26 | $0.253 | $3.86 | 9d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.850 | $2.63 | 10d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.210 | $5.73 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.130 | $0.83 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.220 | $6 | 17d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 55.7 | $0.127 | $7.07 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 21.76 | $0.130 | $2.83 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.650 | $1.93 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.98 | $0.470 | $3.75 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.650 | $2.95 | 22d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.601 | $8 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.53 | $0.440 | $3.31 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | 22d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.820 | $9.76 | 22d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 11.05 | $0.905 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.25 | $0.450 | $3.26 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.79 | $0.670 | $4.55 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.58 | $0.650 | $2.98 | 22d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 19.9 | $0.133 | $2.65 | 23d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.210 | $6 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.150 | $1.82 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.530 | $3.05 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.660 | $2.45 | 29d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.800 | $4.19 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.720 | $3.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.147 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.002 | $1.43 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.74 | $0.204 | $3.41 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.71 | $0.290 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.57 | $0.416 | $4.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 3.49 | $0.730 | $2.55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.47 | $0.379 | $7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 6.59 | $0.860 | $5.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.710 | $9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.840 | $4.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.830 | $2.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.830 | $2.99 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.630 | $8 | Jul 16, 2026 |